基于生命周期理论的企业危机管理动态分析   总被引：6，自引：0，他引：6  

郭际  李南  白奕欣 《科学学与科学技术管理》2006,27(7):116-120

根据生命周期理论将企业发展分为创业阶段、成长阶段、成熟阶段和衰退阶段四个阶段。危机也可分为危机潜伏期、危机征兆期、危机发生期、危机总结期和危机恢复期五个阶段。不同阶段的企业在不同的危机阶段会有不同的注意重点。抓住这些注意重点,可以使企业危机管理更加有效。  相似文献   

基于博弈论的网上个体消费者诚信体系构建分析   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

谭春辉  贺桂和 《科技创业月刊》2007,20(6):124-125,128

诚信是电子商务健康发展的不二法则,网上个体消费者诚信危机也会影响到电子商务的有序发展。应用博弈论中的“囚徒困境”模型以及重复博弈理论分析了网上个体消费者在B2C、C2C中的诚信问题以及合作条件,并提出了构建网上个体消费者诚信体系的相关措施。  相似文献   

基于知识持续管理的人才流失危机管理探讨     

樊宏  戴良铁 《科学学与科学技术管理》2005,26(3):114-117

人才流失的实质是知识流失。从知识持续管理角度来看待人才流失危机管理问题，介绍了知识持续管理的相关概念和基本假设，分析了其竞争优势，初步探讨了知识持续管理体系的开发与管理策略，为企业人才流失危机管理提供了参考依据。  相似文献   

美日政府危机管理体制比较及启示   总被引：11，自引：0，他引：11  

徐家良 《中国软科学》2004,(6):22-26

危机管理不仅是一种社会管理,更是一种政府管理。美国与日本作为发达国家,逐渐积累了有效的政府危机管理经验,包括危机管理战略地位的确定和危机管理的体制化。在危机理念、成本意识、主体观念与过程观念创新的基础上,中国政府有必要将危机管理作为国民经济与社会发展战略的重要组成部分,分阶段地构筑起新型的政府危机管理体制。  相似文献   

危机信息的传播模式与影响因素研究   总被引：14，自引：0，他引：14  

魏玖长  赵定涛 《情报科学》2006,24(12):1782-1785

本文利用Shannon和Weaver的信息传播模式建立了危机事件的信息模式，这种模式易于解释危机信息传播过程中所受到的影响因素。并从危机事件的属性、危机编码、通道、危机解码、噪声、危机反馈环节分析了影响危机信息传播效果的因素。  相似文献   

论资源安全及我国相关制度的重构   总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5  

秦鹏 《中国软科学》2005,(7):39-45

资源安全是人类社会在对资源承载能力产生巨大压力的背景下提出的。资源安全是资源能够持续、稳定地满足国民经济和社会发展需要的一种状态。在近年日益浓重的资源短缺氛围中，我国已经凸现出资源约束下的安全危机，资源短缺与利用的不合理成为我国在本世纪中叶能否实现现代化的巨大挑战。我国资源安全问题的主要根源在于制度的不足与缺位。因此，必须设计完善而健全的制度，使我国的资源安全得到切实保障。  相似文献   

现代企业危机的本质   总被引：15，自引：0，他引：15  

梁嘉骅李常洪  宫丽华 《中国软科学》2004,4(9):89-94

对危机及危机管理的研究已经历了二十多年,但企业危机非但没有减少,并越来越高发,越来越严重,究其原因是未能对危机的本质进行深入的研究。本文从现代企业与企业生态关系的层面上对企业危机本质进行研究,认为现代企业危机的本质在于企业制度体系的根本缺陷。  相似文献   

国外企业危机管理研究的新进展:一个文献综述   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

王静一 《科学学与科学技术管理》2007,28(6):144-147

近年来国外企业危机管理研究呈现出一些新的趋势和特点,体现在:(1)注重可操作的策略研究,(2)注重定量分析和实证研究,(3)发展了消费者危机反应的研究视角,(4)危机沟通实践备受关注,(5)网络成为危机管理研究的新内容,(6)伦理问题受到重视。  相似文献   

A Quantum Measurement Paradigm for Educational Predicates: Implications for validity in educational measurement     

Ian Cantley 《Educational Philosophy and Theory》2017,49(4):405-421

Abstract

The outcomes of educational assessments undoubtedly have real implications for students, teachers, schools and education in the widest sense. Assessment results are, for example, used to award qualifications that determine future educational or vocational pathways of students. The results obtained by students in assessments are also used to gauge individual teacher quality, to hold schools to account for the standards achieved by their students, and to compare international education systems. Given the current high-stakes nature of educational assessment, it is imperative that the measurement practices involved have stable philosophical foundations. However, this article casts doubt on the theoretical underpinnings of contemporary educational measurement models. Aspects of Wittgenstein’s later philosophy and Bohr’s philosophy of quantum theory are used to argue that a quantum theoretical rather than a Newtonian model is appropriate for educational measurement, and the associated implications for the concept of validity are elucidated. Whilst it is acknowledged that the transition to a quantum theoretical framework would not lead to the demise of educational assessment, it is argued that, where practical, current high-stakes assessments should be reformed to become as ‘low-stakes’ as possible. This article also undermines some of the pro high-stakes testing rhetoric that has a tendency to afflict education.  相似文献   

Screening for potential child maltreatment in parents of a newborn baby: The predictive validity of an Instrument for early identification of Parents At Risk for child Abuse and Neglect (IPARAN)     

《Child abuse & neglect》2017

For preventive purposes it is important to be able to identify families with a high risk of child maltreatment at an early stage. Therefore we developed an actuarial instrument for screening families with a newborn baby, the Instrument for identification of Parents At Risk for child Abuse and Neglect (IPARAN). The aim of this study was to assess the predictive validity of the IPARAN and to examine whether combining actuarial and clinical methods leads to an improvement of the predictive validity. We examined the predictive validity by calculating several performance indicators (i.e., sensitivity, specificity and the Area Under the receiver operating characteristic Curve [AUC]) in a sample of 4692 Dutch families with newborns. The outcome measure was a report of child maltreatment at Child Protection Services during a follow-up of 3 years. For 17 children (.4%) a report of maltreatment was registered. The predictive validity of the IPARAN was significantly better than chance (AUC = .700, 95% CI [.567–.832]), in contrast to a low value for clinical judgement of nurses of the Youth Health Care Centers (AUC = .591, 95% CI [.422–.759]). The combination of the IPARAN and clinical judgement resulted in the highest predictive validity (AUC = .720, 95% CI [.593–.847]), however, the difference between the methods did not reach statistical significance. The good predictive validity of the IPARAN in combination with clinical judgment of the nurse enables professionals to assess risks at an early stage and to make referrals to early intervention programs.  相似文献